Foto: Syrian Arab Red Crescent
Invitation
Climate, Conflict, and Crisis:
Early Warning Early Action in Fragile Settings - How research and practice interlink
Co-hosted by the Danish Refugee Council and Danish Red Cross
Thursday 27 August, 14.00-16.00 at Danish Red Cross, Blegdamsvej 27, 2100 Copenhagen
People living in areas affected by armed conflict are among the most vulnerable to climate-related hazards. Conflict increases exposure to floods, droughts, and extreme weather while weakening the systems needed to anticipate and respond to these risks. Damaged infrastructure, limited data, population displacement, and reduced institutional capacity severely constrain adaptation to a changing climate.
In this context, Early Warning and Early Action (EWEA) is among the most effective approaches for saving lives and protecting livelihoods. Yet, until recently, EWEA in conflict-affected and fragile settings has received limited attention in research and policy.
Anticipatory action (AA) offers significant potential in conflict-affected and fragile settings, where the impacts of climate hazards often intersect with existing vulnerabilities and insecurity. By using forecasts, risk analysis, and predefined triggers to release funding and implement actions before a disaster occurs, anticipatory approaches can help reduce humanitarian impacts, protect livelihoods, and prevent further displacement.
Join the Danish Refugee Council and the Danish Red Cross when we present new evidence on the feasibility of early warning in conflict settings, with ways forward on how anticipatory action can be used to minimize to climate-induced losses and damages as well as anticipating the impacts of fragility and conflict will presented and discussed, to inspire commitments and action on this agenda.
Time & Place
Thursday 27 August 2026, 14.00-16.00 at Danish Red Cross, Blegdamsvej 27, 2100 Copenhagen
Sign up
This event is a hybrid event. You can sign up for physical or online participation here.
Programme
13:30 Arrival – coffee and tea
14.00 Opening of event: by Danish Refugee Council and Danish Red Cross
14.15 Session 1: What are we up against?
Presentation of research ‘Early warning and early action in conflict-affected settings’ by Keynote speaker Cataline Jaime, Head of Secretariat, Risk-informed Early Action Partnership (REAP)
Moderated by Emmanuel Raju, Associate Professor at the University of Copenhagen and Director of the Copenhagen Centre for Disaster Research (COPE)
14.55 Session 2: Introducing AA as solution to address fragility and climate shocks
Panel debate exploring current experiences with anticipatory action
- Earlywarning4All, Salla Himberg, IFRC
- Anticipating the impacts of fragility and conflict, Alexander Kjærum, Danish Refugee Council
- AA, data and research, Maja Lazic, World Bank- UNHCR Joint Data Center on Forced Displacement
Moderated by Emmanuel Raju, Associate Professor at the University of Copenhagen and Director of the Copenhagen Centre for Disaster Research (COPE)
15.55 Closing of conference by Danish Refugee Council and Danish Red Cross
16.00 Reception and Networking
16.30 Goodbye
Sign up here
Read about the panelists
- Salla Himberg
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Salla Himberg is a humanitarian and resilience expert with nearly 20 years of international experience in disaster risk reduction, early warning systems, and humanitarian action. As Senior Advisor for Early Warnings for All at the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), she supports efforts to strengthen preparedness, anticipatory action, and community resilience to climate and disaster risks. Throughout her career, she has worked with the United Nations and the Red Cross Red Crescent Movement across Africa, Asia, and Europe.
- Catalina Jaime
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Catalina Jaime is Head of Secretariat of the Risk-informed Early Action Partnership (REAP), where she leads global efforts to advance early warning and early action through stronger policy, financing and partnerships. She is also a Lead Author for the IPCC Seventh Assessment Report.
She is a disaster risk reduction and early action specialist with more than 20 years of experience in humanitarian action, climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction. Catalina previously led the Climate and Conflict portfolio at the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, where her work included advancing anticipatory action in conflict settings.
She completed her PhD at the University of Twente/ITC on Early Warning and Early Action in situations of conflict. Her research builds on extensive operational experience, including work on early warning systems in Haiti, pioneering anticipatory action approaches in Uganda, post-Typhoon Haiyan recovery in the Philippines, and global work on anticipatory action. She was also a contributing author to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report and previously served as Knowledge Manager for the Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) programme.
Catalina has a background in Industrial Engineering and a Master's degree in Humanitarian Action, specialising in conflict, disasters and peacebuilding from the Universities of Deusto and Uppsala.
- Alexander Kjærum
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Alexander is a global advisor and senior analyst with the Danish Refugee Council where he leads the work on enhancing the use of data and analysis for strategic humanitarian planning and response. He is the author of the flagship Global Displacement Forecast report and spearheading the work on forecasting displacement for anticipatory action. As part of his role, he is currently engaged in setting up anticipatory action mechanisms for conflict-induced displacement across 8 countries and co-leading the Global Working Group on Anticipatory Action for Displacement.
Prior to joining the Danish Refugee Council, Alexander worked as the Head of the Policy Unit in Voluntas Advisory – a consultancy firm working with major international donors, UN agencies and NGOs providing evidence-based advisory on stabilization/CVE, governance and humanitarian issues. He holds a MSc. in Political Science from University of Copenhagen.
- Maja Lazić
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Maja Lazić is the Deputy Head of the World Bank UNHCR Joint Data Center and has over two decades of experience working in conflict, post-conflict, and emergency settings in the Balkans, Southeast Asia, and Central Asia with UNHCR, UN Human Rights (OHCHR), and non-governmental organizations. From 2018 to 2020, she was the Deputy Representative for UNHCR in Malaysia, where she worked towards the objectives of the Global Compact for Refugees and the UN Sustainable Development Goals. She has served in UNHCR’s Headquarters in different policy and management capacities. While Maja’s professional experience is anchored in protection of the forcibly displaced and stateless populations, she also has experience in education, program oversight, public engagement, and donor and partner relations in humanitarian and development contexts.